1
19%
Home Win
5.19
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
55%
Away Win
1.82
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vitoria an expected 0.8 goals and Botafogo an expected 1.5 goals. Vitoria have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Botafogo at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15%
1:1
11.9%
0:2
11.5%
0:0
9.8%
1:2
9.1%
1:0
7.7%
0:3
5.9%
2:1
4.7%
1:3
4.6%
2:2
3.6%
2:0
3.1%
0:4
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Vitoria | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 6 |
| 45 | Points | 63 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Vitoria at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Vitoria
W
D
Botafogo
D
W
L
