1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.20
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Villarreal an expected 2.2 goals and Espanyol an expected 0.9 goals. Villarreal have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Espanyol at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.5%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.5%
1:1
9%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
7.2%
2:2
4.6%
0:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
4:0
4.2%
0:1
4.1%
4:1
4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Villarreal | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 11 |
| 72 | Points | 46 |
| 58% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Villarreal at Home
W3
D0
L3
(6 games)
Espanyol Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Villarreal
W
L
L
L
W
Espanyol
L
L
L