Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 08 Aug 2026 · Eliteserien
1 74%
Home Win 1.36
X 14%
Draw 6.92
2 12%
Away Win 8.56
xG Home 2.90
xG Away 1.12
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
BTTS 63%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Viking an expected 2.9 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.1 goals. Viking have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 8.5%
3:1 8.2%
2:0 7.6%
3:0 7.3%
4:1 5.9%
1:1 5.8%
4:0 5.3%
1:0 5.2%
2:2 4.7%
3:2 4.6%
4:2 3.3%
1:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Viking Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Viking Sarpsborg 08
1 League Position 8
71 Points 41
73% Win % 37%
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Viking at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Viking
W W W
Sarpsborg 08
D D L L

Head to Head

12 Jul 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1 : 0 Viking
L
01 Mar 2026 Friendlies Clubs
Viking 2 : 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
L
27 Sep 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 : 3 Viking
D