1
23%
Home Win
4.28
X
24%
Draw
4.12
2
52%
Away Win
1.91
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.67
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Viborg an expected 1.0 goals and Aarhus GF an expected 1.7 goals. Viborg have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Aarhus GF at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
0:1
11.2%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9.4%
1:0
6.9%
0:0
6.7%
2:1
6%
1:3
5.4%
0:3
5.2%
2:2
5%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Viborg | Aarhus GF | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 33 | Points | 50 |
| 45% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Viborg at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Aarhus GF Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Viborg
W
L
W
L
Aarhus GF
W
D
L