1
39%
Home Win
2.59
X
47%
Draw
2.15
2
15%
Away Win
6.76
xG Home
0.65
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
BTTS
12%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Venezuela an expected 0.7 goals and Mexico an expected 0.3 goals. Venezuela have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 47%, and Mexico at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 93%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
38.6%
1:0
25.2%
0:1
11.6%
2:0
8.2%
1:1
7.5%
2:1
2.5%
3:0
1.8%
0:2
1.7%
1:2
1.1%
3:1
0.5%
2:2
0.4%
4:0
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Venezuela | Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Mexico
3 : 1
Venezuela
L
Mexico
1 : 1
Venezuela
D