Venezuela vs Canada Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 06 Jul 2024 · Copa America
1 63%
Home Win 1.59
X 29%
Draw 3.47
2 8%
Away Win 11.86
xG Home 1.30
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
BTTS 19%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Venezuela an expected 1.3 goals and Canada an expected 0.3 goals. Venezuela have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Canada at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 26.2%
0:0 20.1%
2:0 17.1%
1:1 7.9%
3:0 7.4%
0:1 6%
2:1 5.1%
4:0 2.4%
3:1 2.2%
1:2 1.2%
0:2 0.9%
2:2 0.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Venezuela Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Venezuela Canada
1 League Position 2
9 Points 4
100% Win % 33%
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67