1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Velež an expected 1.3 goals and Milsami Orhei an expected 0.9 goals. Velež have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Milsami Orhei at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
10.8%
0:1
10.2%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Velež Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
