1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
23%
Draw
4.42
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.86
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.9 goals and RB Bragantino an expected 1.4 goals. Vasco DA Gama have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and RB Bragantino at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.3%
1:2
6.9%
2:0
6.8%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.4%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
4%
0:0
4%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vasco DA Gama Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Vasco DA Gama | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 10 |
| 45 | Points | 48 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Vasco DA Gama at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
RB Bragantino Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
L
W
W
L
RB Bragantino
L
W
Head to Head
RB Bragantino
0 : 3
Vasco DA Gama
W
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 2
RB Bragantino
W
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 2
RB Bragantino
D