1
25%
Home Win
3.97
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
53%
Away Win
1.9
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.92
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.3 goals and Mirassol an expected 1.9 goals. Vasco DA Gama have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Mirassol at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
7.9%
0:2
7.6%
2:1
6.4%
1:3
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
1:0
5.2%
0:3
4.9%
0:0
4.1%
2:3
3.9%
2:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Vasco DA Gama | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 45 | Points | 67 |
| 34% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Vasco DA Gama at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Mirassol Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
L
W
W
L
Mirassol
L
W
Head to Head
Mirassol
2 : 1
Vasco DA Gama
L
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 2
Mirassol
W
Mirassol
3 : 2
Vasco DA Gama
L
