1
23%
Home Win
4.39
X
24%
Draw
4.12
2
53%
Away Win
1.89
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.0 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.7 goals. Vasco DA Gama have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cruzeiro at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
0:1
11.4%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9.6%
1:0
6.9%
0:0
6.8%
2:1
5.8%
1:3
5.4%
0:3
5.3%
2:2
4.9%
2:0
3.5%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Vasco DA Gama | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 45 | Points | 70 |
| 34% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Vasco DA Gama at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
L
W
W
L
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
