Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.70
xG Away 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Vancouver Whitecaps an expected 1.7 goals and San Diego an expected 1.3 goals. Vancouver Whitecaps have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and San Diego at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.3%
1:0 8.4%
1:2 7.2%
2:0 7.1%
0:1 6.5%
2:2 6.1%
3:1 5.3%
0:0 5%
0:2 4.2%
3:0 4%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Team Comparison

Vancouver Whitecaps San Diego
2 League Position 1
63 Points 63
53% Win % 56%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

Vancouver Whitecaps at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
San Diego Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Vancouver Whitecaps
D W L W W
San Diego
D D L L