1
38%
Home Win
2.66
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
39%
Away Win
2.59
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vålerenga an expected 1.5 goals and Molde an expected 1.6 goals. Vålerenga have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Molde at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8.3%
0:1
6.9%
1:0
6.8%
2:2
6.5%
0:2
5.5%
2:0
5.3%
1:3
4.4%
0:0
4.4%
3:1
4.3%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Vålerenga | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 10 |
| 41 | Points | 39 |
| 40% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Vålerenga at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Molde Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Vålerenga
L
D
L
Molde
W
D
L
W
D
