1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vålerenga an expected 1.7 goals and HamKam an expected 1.4 goals. Vålerenga have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and HamKam at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
7.8%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
6.8%
2:2
6.3%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
4.5%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vålerenga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Vålerenga | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 43 | Points | 37 |
| 43% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
Venue Form
Vålerenga at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
HamKam Away
W1
D2
L4
(7 games)
Recent Form
Vålerenga
D
L
D
L
HamKam
L
L
W
L
L