1
45%
Home Win
2.24
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
32%
Away Win
3.12
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vålerenga an expected 1.7 goals and HamKam an expected 1.4 goals. Vålerenga have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and HamKam at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.1%
1:2
7.5%
1:0
7.3%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
6.3%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.2%
0:2
4.3%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.8%
3:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vålerenga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Vålerenga | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 41 | Points | 37 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
Venue Form
Vålerenga at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
HamKam Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Vålerenga
D
L
HamKam
L
L
D
D
