1
37%
Home Win
2.73
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
37%
Away Win
2.7
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vålerenga an expected 1.3 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 1.3 goals. Vålerenga have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Fredrikstad at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
9.7%
1:0
9.7%
1:2
8.2%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
7.5%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
6.2%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
3.5%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vålerenga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Vålerenga | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 41 | Points | 42 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
Venue Form
Vålerenga at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Fredrikstad Away
W0
D0
L5
(5 games)
Recent Form
Vålerenga
L
D
L
Fredrikstad
L
L
L
L
L
