1
2%
Home Win
53.19
X
8%
Draw
13.09
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
3.03
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Uzbekistan an expected 0.3 goals and Colombia an expected 3.0 goals. Uzbekistan have a 2% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Colombia at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
16.6%
0:2
16.4%
0:4
12.6%
0:1
10.8%
1:3
5%
1:2
4.9%
1:4
3.8%
0:0
3.6%
1:1
3.2%
1:0
1.1%
2:3
0.7%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uzbekistan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Uzbekistan | Colombia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 0 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |