USA vs Senegal Prediction

USA USA
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 31 May 2026 · Friendlies
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 1.5 goals and Senegal an expected 1.2 goals. USA have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Senegal at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Senegal Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Venue Form

USA at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Senegal Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

USA
W W
Senegal
W