1
81%
Home Win
1.24
X
13%
Draw
7.55
2
6%
Away Win
17.09
xG Home
2.57
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 2.6 goals and Paraguay an expected 0.6 goals. USA have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Paraguay at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.6%
3:0
12.5%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
8%
4:0
8%
3:1
6.9%
1:1
6.2%
4:1
4.4%
0:0
4.4%
0:1
2.4%
2:2
2.2%
3:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
USA
2 : 1
Paraguay
W
USA
1 : 0
Paraguay
W
USA
1 : 0
Paraguay
W