1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
25%
Draw
3.93
2
28%
Away Win
3.55
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 1.5 goals and Mexico an expected 1.1 goals. USA have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Mexico at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.2%
0:1
7.9%
0:0
7%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Head to Head
Mexico
2 : 0
USA
L
Mexico
0 : 2
USA
W
USA
3 : 0
Mexico
W