1
88%
Home Win
1.14
X
10%
Draw
10.18
2
2%
Away Win
40.32
xG Home
2.71
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 2.7 goals and Haiti an expected 0.3 goals. USA have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Haiti at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
18.1%
3:0
16.4%
1:0
13.4%
4:0
11.1%
2:1
5.4%
0:0
4.9%
3:1
4.9%
1:1
4%
4:1
3.3%
0:1
1.5%
2:2
0.8%
3:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Haiti | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 9 | Points | 1 |
| 100% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
USA
1 : 0
Haiti
W
USA
1 : 0
Haiti
W