1
30%
Home Win
3.35
X
24%
Draw
4.14
2
46%
Away Win
2.17
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 1.3 goals and Belgium an expected 1.7 goals. USA have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Belgium at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
8.7%
0:2
7.2%
2:1
7.2%
1:0
6.8%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.3%
1:3
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
USA
2 : 5
Belgium
L
Belgium
2 : 1
USA
L
