1
55%
Home Win
1.83
X
29%
Draw
3.4
2
16%
Away Win
6.28
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 1.3 goals and Australia an expected 0.6 goals. USA have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Australia at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.5%
0:0
15.9%
2:0
13.2%
1:1
11.3%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
7.3%
3:0
5.6%
1:2
3.1%
3:1
3.1%
0:2
2.4%
2:2
2%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Australia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
USA
2 : 1
Australia
W