1
90%
Home Win
1.11
X
3%
Draw
37.04
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
4.89
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Uruguay an expected 4.9 goals and Panama an expected 0.6 goals. Uruguay have a 90% win probability, draw stands at 3%, and Panama at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
10.2%
3:0
8.4%
4:1
5.7%
2:0
5.1%
3:1
4.7%
2:1
2.9%
1:0
2.1%
4:2
1.6%
3:2
1.3%
1:1
1.2%
2:2
0.8%
0:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uruguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Uruguay | Panama | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Uruguay
5 : 0
Panama
W
Uruguay
3 : 0
Panama
W