1
71%
Home Win
1.41
X
20%
Draw
5.09
2
10%
Away Win
10.38
xG Home
1.96
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Uruguay an expected 2.0 goals and Colombia an expected 0.6 goals. Uruguay have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Colombia at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.8%
2:0
15.5%
3:0
10.1%
1:1
8.8%
2:1
8.6%
0:0
8.1%
3:1
5.6%
4:0
4.9%
0:1
4.5%
4:1
2.8%
1:2
2.5%
2:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uruguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Uruguay | Colombia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Colombia
2 : 2
Uruguay
D
Uruguay
0 : 0
Colombia
D
Uruguay
0 : 0
Colombia
D