1
25%
Home Win
4.02
X
46%
Draw
2.19
2
29%
Away Win
3.39
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
9%
BTTS
16%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Uruguay an expected 0.5 goals and Cape Verde Islands an expected 0.6 goals. Uruguay have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 46%, and Cape Verde Islands at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 91%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
35.6%
0:1
19.6%
1:0
17.2%
1:1
9.5%
0:2
5.4%
2:0
4.1%
1:2
2.6%
2:1
2.3%
0:3
1%
3:0
0.7%
2:2
0.6%
1:3
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uruguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Uruguay | Cape Verde Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |