Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigre an expected 1.1 goals and Atlético Tucumán an expected 0.8 goals. Tigre have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Atlético Tucumán at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tigre Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Venue Form

Tigre at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Atlético Tucumán Away
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Tigre
D
Atlético Tucumán
L W D W L