1
61%
Home Win
1.64
X
28%
Draw
3.6
2
11%
Away Win
9.04
xG Home
1.37
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Union Saint-Gilloise an expected 1.4 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 0.4 goals. Union Saint-Gilloise have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and KV Mechelen at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
23.1%
0:0
16.9%
2:0
15.8%
1:1
9.5%
3:0
7.2%
0:1
6.9%
2:1
6.5%
3:1
3%
4:0
2.5%
1:2
2%
0:2
1.4%
2:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Union Saint-Gilloise Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Union Saint-Gilloise | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 36 | Points | 24 |
| 65% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Union Saint-Gilloise at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
KV Mechelen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise
W
D
W
W
KV Mechelen
L
L
D
