Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Jupiler Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.70
xG Away 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Union Saint-Gilloise an expected 1.7 goals and Cercle Brugge an expected 1.3 goals. Union Saint-Gilloise have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cercle Brugge at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.8%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.5%
2:2 5.9%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5.2%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Union Saint-Gilloise Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

Union Saint-Gilloise at Home
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate
Cercle Brugge Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Union Saint-Gilloise
W D W W
Cercle Brugge
L L W