1
64%
Home Win
1.55
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
11%
Away Win
9.26
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
0.46
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Union Saint-Gilloise an expected 1.5 goals and Anderlecht an expected 0.5 goals. Union Saint-Gilloise have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Anderlecht at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.7%
2:0
16%
0:0
13.4%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
8.3%
2:1
7.4%
0:1
6.2%
3:1
3.8%
4:0
3.2%
1:2
2.2%
2:2
1.7%
4:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Union Saint-Gilloise Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 36 | Points | 22 |
| 65% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Union Saint-Gilloise at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Anderlecht Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise
W
D
W
W
Anderlecht
D
L
W