1
25%
Home Win
3.94
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
51%
Away Win
1.95
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
1.79
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Uganda an expected 1.2 goals and Tanzania an expected 1.8 goals. Uganda have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Tanzania at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:2
9.7%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
8.1%
2:1
6.5%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.8%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.1%
0:3
4.8%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tanzania Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Uganda | Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 1 | Points | 2 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Tanzania
1 : 0
Uganda
L
Tanzania
0 : 1
Uganda
W