1
1%
Home Win
100
X
2%
Draw
45.25
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
5.00
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tunisia an expected 0.5 goals and Japan an expected 5.0 goals. Tunisia have a 1% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Japan at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
10.8%
0:3
8.7%
1:4
5.2%
0:2
5.2%
1:3
4.2%
1:2
2.5%
0:1
2.1%
2:4
1.3%
2:3
1%
1:1
1%
2:2
0.6%
0:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Japan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Tunisia | Japan | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Japan
2 : 0
Tunisia
L
Japan
0 : 3
Tunisia
W