1
57%
Home Win
1.75
X
22%
Draw
4.65
2
21%
Away Win
4.7
xG Home
2.00
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tromsø IL an expected 2.0 goals and Vålerenga an expected 1.1 goals. Tromsø IL have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Vålerenga at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
8.7%
2:0
8.7%
3:1
6.6%
3:0
5.8%
1:2
5.6%
2:2
5.6%
0:1
5%
0:0
4.4%
3:2
3.7%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vålerenga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Tromsø IL | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 57 | Points | 41 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Tromsø IL at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Vålerenga Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Tromsø IL
W
W
L
W
Vålerenga
D
W
L
L
L
Head to Head
Valerenga
1 : 0
Tromso
L
Tromso
2 : 1
Valerenga
L
Valerenga
1 : 4
Tromso
W
