1
55%
Home Win
1.81
X
22%
Draw
4.46
2
22%
Away Win
4.49
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tromsø IL an expected 1.9 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.1 goals. Tromsø IL have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
8.8%
3:1
6.2%
1:2
5.8%
0:1
5.6%
3:0
5.5%
2:2
5.5%
0:0
5%
3:2
3.5%
0:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tromsø IL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Tromsø IL | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 57 | Points | 41 |
| 60% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Tromsø IL at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Tromsø IL
W
W
L
W
Sarpsborg 08
D
D
L
L
