1
49%
Home Win
2.03
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
26%
Away Win
3.89
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tromsø IL an expected 1.6 goals and Molde an expected 1.1 goals. Tromsø IL have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Molde at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
11.2%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
7.6%
0:0
7.1%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
5%
3:1
5%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tromsø IL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Tromsø IL | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 10 |
| 57 | Points | 39 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Tromsø IL at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Molde Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Tromsø IL
W
W
L
W
Molde
W
D
L
W
D
