Tromsø IL vs HamKam Prediction

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Most Likely Score
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 · Eliteserien
1 56%
Home Win 1.79
X 23%
Draw 4.29
2 21%
Away Win 4.84
xG Home 1.77
xG Away 0.98
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tromsø IL an expected 1.8 goals and HamKam an expected 1.0 goals. Tromsø IL have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and HamKam at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 11.4%
1:1 11.1%
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.8%
0:0 6.4%
0:1 6.3%
3:0 5.9%
3:1 5.8%
1:2 5.4%
2:2 4.8%
0:2 3.1%
3:2 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tromsø IL Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Tromsø IL HamKam
3 League Position 11
57 Points 37
60% Win % 33%
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57

Venue Form

Tromsø IL at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
HamKam Away
W1 D2 L3 (6 games)
17% win rate

Recent Form

Tromsø IL
W W L W
HamKam
L W L L D