Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Toulouse an expected 1.5 goals and Estac Troyes an expected 1.1 goals. Toulouse have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Estac Troyes at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1 (~12% probability). However, when all Toulouse Win scorelines are combined, that outcome reaches 46% — making it the strongest bet. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.