1
29%
Home Win
3.51
X
27%
Draw
3.66
2
44%
Away Win
2.26
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toronto FC an expected 1.0 goals and Nashville SC an expected 1.4 goals. Toronto FC have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Nashville SC at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
12.5%
1:0
9.5%
0:0
9.2%
1:2
8.7%
0:2
8.4%
2:1
6.6%
2:0
4.9%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 6 |
| 32 | Points | 54 |
| 18% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Toronto FC at Home
W0
D3
L3
(6 games)
Nashville SC Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Toronto FC
L
D
L
D
D
Nashville SC
D
W
