1
45%
Home Win
2.24
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
30%
Away Win
3.39
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tianjin Teda an expected 1.5 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.1 goals. Tianjin Teda have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.3%
2:0
7.9%
0:0
7.3%
1:2
7.1%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tianjin Teda Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Tianjin Teda | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 9 |
| 5 | Points | 17 |
| 19% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
Venue Form
Tianjin Teda at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Tianjin Teda
W
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
L