1
49%
Home Win
2.05
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
24%
Away Win
4.18
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tianjin Teda an expected 1.4 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 0.9 goals. Tianjin Teda have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
12.6%
0:0
10%
2:0
9.9%
0:1
9%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
5.6%
3:0
4.6%
3:1
4.1%
0:2
4%
2:2
4%
3:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tianjin Teda Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Tianjin Teda | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 17 | Points | 31 |
| 35% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Tianjin Teda at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Tianjin Teda
W
W
L
Qingdao Youth Island
W
