1
37%
Home Win
2.71
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
37%
Away Win
2.72
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tianjin Teda an expected 1.3 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.3 goals. Tianjin Teda have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Beijing Guoan at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
9.6%
0:1
9.6%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
8.2%
0:0
7.3%
2:0
6.3%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.6%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tianjin Teda Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Tianjin Teda | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 17 | Points | 29 |
| 35% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Tianjin Teda at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Tianjin Teda
W
W
L
Beijing Guoan
W
