1
23%
Home Win
4.38
X
26%
Draw
3.81
2
51%
Away Win
1.96
xG Home
0.90
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Teplice an expected 0.9 goals and Plzen an expected 1.5 goals. Teplice have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Plzen at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.7%
1:1
12.3%
0:2
10.2%
0:0
9.2%
1:2
9.1%
1:0
8.3%
2:1
5.5%
0:3
5%
1:3
4.5%
2:2
4.1%
2:0
3.7%
2:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Plzen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Teplice | Plzen | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 20% | Win % | 50% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
