1
48%
Home Win
2.08
X
32%
Draw
3.1
2
20%
Away Win
5.09
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Teplice an expected 1.1 goals and Dukla Praha an expected 0.6 goals. Teplice have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Dukla Praha at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.2%
0:0
18.1%
1:1
12%
2:0
11.2%
0:1
10.8%
2:1
6.7%
3:0
4.2%
1:2
3.6%
0:2
3.2%
3:1
2.5%
2:2
2%
4:0
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Teplice Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Teplice | Dukla Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 29 | Points | 23 |
| 20% | Win % | 13% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
