Switzerland vs Canada Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · World Cup
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.69
xG Away 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 66%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Switzerland an expected 1.7 goals and Canada an expected 1.7 goals. Switzerland have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Canada at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.9%
2:1 8.3%
1:2 8.2%
2:2 6.9%
1:0 6%
0:1 5.9%
2:0 5%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.7%
1:3 4.5%
3:2 3.9%
2:3 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Canada Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Switzerland Canada
1 League Position 2
7 Points 4
67% Win % 33%
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1