1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
8%
Draw
12.39
2
5%
Away Win
19.23
xG Home
3.94
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Switzerland an expected 3.9 goals and Algeria an expected 1.0 goals. Switzerland have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Algeria at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
7.3%
4:1
7.2%
3:0
7.1%
4:0
6.9%
2:1
5.6%
2:0
5.4%
3:2
3.8%
4:2
3.7%
2:2
2.9%
1:1
2.8%
1:0
2.7%
1:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Switzerland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| Switzerland | Algeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
