1
39%
Home Win
2.54
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
36%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Swansea an expected 1.5 goals and Wrexham an expected 1.4 goals. Swansea have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Wrexham at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
8.6%
0:1
8.2%
1:2
8.1%
2:0
6.3%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.9%
0:2
5.6%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Swansea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Swansea | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 64 | Points | 71 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Swansea at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Wrexham Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Swansea
W
L
Wrexham
L
W
