1
7%
Home Win
13.81
X
17%
Draw
5.98
2
76%
Away Win
1.32
xG Home
0.51
xG Away
2.18
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Suriname an expected 0.5 goals and Mexico an expected 2.2 goals. Suriname have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Mexico at 76%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
16.2%
0:1
14.8%
0:3
11.7%
1:2
8.2%
1:1
7.5%
0:0
6.8%
0:4
6.4%
1:3
6%
1:0
3.5%
1:4
3.2%
2:2
2.1%
2:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Suriname | Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 1 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Suriname
0 : 2
Mexico
L
Mexico
3 : 0
Suriname
L