1
54%
Home Win
1.84
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
19%
Away Win
5.17
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sturm Graz an expected 1.5 goals and Rapid Wien an expected 0.8 goals. Sturm Graz have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Rapid Wien at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.5%
1:1
12%
2:0
11.6%
0:0
10.4%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8%
3:0
5.8%
1:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
2:2
3.4%
0:2
3.1%
4:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Sturm Graz | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 5 |
| 37 | Points | 27 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Rapid Wien Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Rapid Wien
L
