1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
26%
Away Win
3.81
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sturm Graz an expected 1.3 goals and Rapid Wien an expected 0.9 goals. Sturm Graz have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Rapid Wien at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10.4%
0:1
9.7%
2:0
9.2%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
6%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
2:2
4%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Sturm Graz | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 38 | Points | 33 |
| 55% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
Venue Form
Rapid Wien Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Rapid Wien
L