1
45%
Home Win
2.23
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
30%
Away Win
3.35
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sturm Graz an expected 1.5 goals and LASK Linz an expected 1.2 goals. Sturm Graz have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and LASK Linz at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.2%
0:1
7.8%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.2%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.7%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sturm Graz | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 37 | Points | 39 |
| 50% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
