Standard Liege vs Charleroi Prediction

Standard Liege Standard Liege
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi Charleroi
1 48%
Home Win 2.09
X 24%
Draw 4.22
2 28%
Away Win 3.52
xG Home 1.72
xG Away 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Standard Liege an expected 1.7 goals and Charleroi an expected 1.3 goals. Standard Liege have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Charleroi at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.6%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Charleroi Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Standard Liege at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Charleroi Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Standard Liege
W L
Charleroi
W W D

Head to Head

18 Apr 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi 1 : 2 Standard Liege
W
18 Jan 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi 2 : 0 Standard Liege
L
31 Oct 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liege 3 : 1 Charleroi
L