1
19%
Home Win
5.36
X
32%
Draw
3.08
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
0.56
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Truiden an expected 0.6 goals and Union Saint-Gilloise an expected 1.1 goals. St. Truiden have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Union Saint-Gilloise at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.8%
0:0
18.7%
1:1
11.7%
0:2
11.6%
1:0
10.6%
1:2
6.5%
0:3
4.3%
2:1
3.3%
2:0
3%
1:3
2.4%
2:2
1.8%
0:4
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Union Saint-Gilloise Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| St. Truiden | Union Saint-Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 29 | Points | 36 |
| 58% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.55 |
Venue Form
St. Truiden at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Union Saint-Gilloise Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
St. Truiden
W
W
Union Saint-Gilloise
D
L
W