1
45%
Home Win
2.2
X
29%
Draw
3.46
2
26%
Away Win
3.89
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Truiden an expected 1.3 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 0.9 goals. St. Truiden have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and KV Mechelen at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
1:1
13%
0:0
11.8%
0:1
10.3%
2:0
9.4%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
5.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4%
2:2
3.6%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Truiden Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| St. Truiden | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 5 |
| 29 | Points | 24 |
| 58% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
St. Truiden at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
KV Mechelen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
St. Truiden
W
W
KV Mechelen
L
L
D
Head to Head
KV Mechelen
1 : 4
St. Truiden
W
St. Truiden
1 : 0
KV Mechelen
L
KV Mechelen
1 : 3
St. Truiden
W